
Anderson Silva (c) vs Yushin Okami
The UFC returns to Brazil for only the second time since 1998 with a very solid card. Zuffa is promoting the main event as Anderson Silva vs the man who last beat him. While that may be true, Silva lost that fight to Yushin Okami due to illegal kicks. That fight was also over five years ago and not a UFC sanctioned event. Since that fight Anderson Silva has rattled off 14 consecutive wins, while Okami has won 12 out of 15. Eight of those twelve wins have come by decision. Anderson Silva has only had 2 fights in the last 5 years go to a decision, and I don’t expect this to be much different.
JOE’S PICK: Anderson Silva wins via TKO Round 2
Mauricio Rua vs Forrest Griffin
There are many in the MMA world who are writing off both Shogun and Forrest, saying their careers are in the decline. Rua has a career record of 19-5 (4-3 in the UFC) while Forrest has compiled an 18-6 record (9-4 in the UFC). All of a sudden this will be Griffin’s 14th fight in the Octagon. He is coming off of two wins against aging UFC stars in Rich Franklin (Decision) and Tito Ortiz (Decision). Shogun has lost two of his last three fights, but those losses were against Lyoto Machida (Decision) and Jon Jones (TKO). Going by history alone, one cannot come up with a good reason why one fighter is going to beat the other. However, these two fighters fought back in 2007 at UFC 76 with Forrest winning in exhilarating fashion via rear naked choke at the 4:45 mark of the 3rd and final round. Fans, including myself, would love to see Forrest win, but a healthy Shogun will have his hand raised in this one.
JOE’S PICK: Mauricio “Shogun” Rua wins by decision
Brendan Schaub vs Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira
This fight is the classic case of trying to figure out just how good Brendan Schaub is. Furthermore, it also allows us to evaluate the longevity of Big Nog’s career. Ever since Schaub lost the Ultimate Fighter Finale to Roy Nelson, something clicked. He has gone from a participant of the TV show into a very well rounded fighter. Brendan heads into this fight with 4 straight victories, including his most recent win over Cro Cop (KO). Nogueira is 32-6 in his professional career, but only 3-2 inside the Octagon. Let’s face it, his wins in the UFC have come against less than good competition (Heath Herring, Tim Sylvia, Randy Couture…okay, we’ll give him that one). If Brendan Schaub can show improvement once again and land a punch to Big Nogs chin, he may have a shot at another KO victory. Big Nog is coming off of a first round KO loss to Cain Velasquez and we’ve seen how the chin starts to fade on fighters once they get to age 35.
JOE’S PICK: Brendan Schaub wins via TKO Round 2
Other fights on the main card:
Ross Pearson vs Edson Barboza
Luiz Cane vs Stanislav Nedkov
Spike TV Prelims:
Thiago Tavares vs Spencer Fisher
Paulo Thiago vs David Mitchell
Facebook Prelims:
Raphael Assuncao vs Johnny Eduardo
Rousimar Palhares vs Dan Miller
Yuri Alcantara vs Felipe Arantes
Yves Jabouin vs Ian Loveland